Leon the tourguide

Leon the tourguide
Leon the Tour Guide

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Iran's Atomic Bomb - A catastrophe created by humans

For some time now the media has published articles on the question of how long it's going to take for Iran to complete production of their atomic bomb. There was even a question as to whether Iran was really manufacturing a bomb. Even with the latest report, however, nobody seems convinced that Iran is really making a bomb and even those who think this are of the opinion that they're still several months or even years away from completion.

This plethora of doubt is in a way comforting and the more articles appear the more we, the public are left pondering and guessing. There's simply no definite answer either yes or no. In the case of such a vicious weapon being in doubt is more comforting than certainty unless the certainty was that Iran was definitely not making an atomic bomb and definitely not a threat to existence on the planet earth.

In the face of the absence of such certainty doubt is much better than the certainty that Iran definitely has an atomic bomb and definitely intends to use it sooner or later. This is a certainty that nobody wants to hear and the great powers don't want such certainty ever to reach the ears of the public. So the best solution is to convince everybody that there's doubt. It could be or it couldn't be. There's a 50/50 chance or maybe better but the important thing is that we're all kept nice and calm by being in doubt.

Nobody will know for certain whether there's an atomic bomb in Iran or not until it falls on their head. It's like the possibility of an earthquake or a tornado. It might come but then it might not so nobody's worried and everybody carries on as normal.

Unfortunately the writers of articles casting doubt are so numerous and so eager to put doubt in our minds that I'm getting a feeling of certainty. So many people are shouting "No Wolf" or "Maybe no Wolf" that I'm getting the nasty feeling that there is a wolf. I'd be happier if people were crying wolf, then I'd be relieved when it turns out that there's no wolf.

It's a relief when everyone cries wolf and eventually it turns that there's no wolf. But when everyone cries "No Wolf" we'r lulled into a false sense of security. When eventually the wolf comes to eat us up it's a big surprise. But it's short lived as are all surprises. It'll also be quick and perhaps painless, we hope.

It's all okay of course because not knowing that a catastrophe was about to happen we lived a good life. We've lived a blissful, ignorant life untill the moment of impact and then it's over.

This is the way of catastrophes. They come quickly and suddenly and the people most affected are least aware of them.

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